GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rising channel support around 1.2135 is key for bulls

  • GBP/USD gains some positive traction on Wednesday, although it lacks follow-through.
  • Risk appetite momentum is undermining the safe haven dollar and offering support.
  • Rising US bond yields help limit dollar losses and keep additional gains in check.
  • Investors also appear hesitant ahead of Thursday’s BoE and Friday’s NFP.

The pair GBP/USD defends support marked by the lower end of an almost three week ascending channel and attracts some buying near the 1.2135 region on Wednesday.

The risk appetite boost, represented by a generally positive tone around equity markets, undermines the safe haven of the US dollar and offers some support to the GBP/USD pair. However, a further rise in US Treasury yields, bolstered by comments from several Fed officials on Tuesday, help limit dollar losses.

The GBP/USD pair, meanwhile, is struggling to find acceptance above the 1.2200 round figure and remains at the mercy of the dollar’s price dynamics. Traders now look to the US services PMI for further momentum, though attention will turn to Thursday’s Bank of England meeting and Friday’s monthly US employment report (NFP). .

Meanwhile, uptrend channel support near the 1.2135 area could continue to protect the immediate downside. A convincing break below could spark some technical selling and drag GBP/USD to test the 1.2100 mark. On the 4-hour chart, the 200-period SMA is close behind.

Some selling below the latter would be seen as a new trigger for bearish traders and make GBP/USD vulnerable. The decline could then accelerate towards the intermediate support of 1.2030-1.2025 towards the psychological level of 1.2000 and the next relevant support near the horizontal zone of 1.1975-1.1970.

On the other hand, 1.2200 seems to act as an immediate hurdle, above which GBP/USD could rally back to the 1.2250 resistance. Sustained strength beyond the latter should pave the way for an extension of the recent recovery from the lowest level since March 2020 and allow the pair to aim to conquer the 1.2300 level.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart

Technical levels

GBP/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2157
Today’s Daily Change -0.0016
Today’s Daily Change % -0.13
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2173
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.2012
50 Daily SMA 1.2209
100 Daily SMA 1.2509
200 Daily SMA 1.2973
levels
Previous Daily High 1,228
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2159
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2246
Previous Weekly Minimum 1,196
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.2246
Previous Monthly Minimum 1,176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2205
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2234
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2128
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2084
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2008
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2248
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2324
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2369

Source: Fx Street

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