GBP/USD remains near 2.5-week lows, bears flirt with 200-day SMA support

  • GBP/USD comes under fresh selling pressure and falls back to more than two-week lows.
  • The Fed’s tightening outlook and rising US bond yields revive demand for dollars and weigh on the pair.
  • The boost in risk appetite limits the gains of the dollar and the fall of the main currencies.

The pair GBP/USD meets a new offer on Wednesday and returns below 1.2100 during the American mid session. The pair is currently sitting a few points above the 2 1/2 week low reached on Tuesday, and bears are still waiting for a sustained break below the important 200-day SMA.

The US dollar regains positive traction and recovers some of the heavy losses from the previous day, which, in turn, is seen as a key factor putting downward pressure on GBP/USD. As investors digest the Bank of Japan’s surprising policy change, the Fed’s hawkish outlook last week helps the dollar attract further buying. It should be remembered that the US central bank indicated that it will continue raising interest rates to squash inflation and projected an additional 75 basis point hike by the end of 2023.

Elsewhere, sterling continues to be hurt by the dovish outcome of the Bank of England (BoE) meeting, where two members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to keep rates unchanged. This, coupled with mounting recession fears, further contributes to the offered tone surrounding the GBP/USD pair. That being said, the bullish momentum in US equity markets could curb aggressive bullish bets on the dollar. This, in turn, could help limit losses for major pairs.

Therefore, it would be prudent to wait for follow-through selling and acceptance below a technically significant 200-day SMA before placing aggressive bearish bets on GBP/USD. However, the fundamental background suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside and supports the prospects for further depreciation in the near term. The release of the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index is expected for further impetus during the early hours of the North American session.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Last price today 1.2099
Today Daily Variation -0.0075
today’s daily change -0.62
today’s daily opening 1.2174
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2175
daily SMA50 1.1778
daily SMA100 1.1674
daily SMA200 1.2092
levels
previous daily high 1.2223
previous daily low 1.2085
Previous Weekly High 1.2447
previous weekly low 1,212
Previous Monthly High 1.2154
Previous monthly minimum 1.1147
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.2171
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2138
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2099
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2023
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1961
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2237
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2299
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2375

Source: Fx Street

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