GBP/USD surges above 1.2150 after Fed decision and Powell press conference

  • GBP/USD rises after the Fed’s “moderate” rate hike of 75 basis points.
  • Fed Chairman Powell opened the door for “another exceptional” rate hike at subsequent meetings.
  • GBP/USD rose over 160 pips and reached a daily high of 1.2185 before falling back to current levels.

The GBP extended its gains on Wednesday, after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points, which raised the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) to 2.50%. The central bank admitted that output and spending slowed, which was perceived by investors as a slightly “moderate” tilt, without mentioning the word “recession”. At the time of this writing, the pair GBP/USD It trades at 1.2166, up 1.12%.

Some comments from Fed Chairman Powell’s press conference

In his press conference, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that although commodity prices have softened, there are still upward inflationary pressures. He added that “exceptionally” another rate hike might be appropriate, while he said that “we are looking for convincing evidence that inflation is coming down” in the coming months.

Jerome Powell added that the central bank will decide monetary policy “meeting by meeting” and will not provide forward guidance as before. Powell said the FOMC sees rate hikes in 2023, adding that the board has not decided when to stop rate hikes.

FOMC Monetary Policy Statement Summary

In their monetary policy statement, Fed officials mentioned spending and output have “softened” but simultaneously said the labor market is robust. The US central bank noted that inflation remains elevated and has widened further, stressing that the Fed is “firmly committed to returning inflation to its 2% target.”

Meanwhile, policymakers anticipated that further rate hikes would be “appropriate,” adding that balance sheet reduction would continue as envisioned in the Fed’s Balance Sheet Reduction Plans, published in May.

GBP/USD Market reaction

GBP/USD hovered around 1.2029-88 but recovered once Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell took the stand. GBP/USD rose from 1.2029 to 1.2185 for a 160 pip move higher, which is close to the 50 day EMA around 1.2232.

Key technical levels

GBP/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.2156
Today’s Daily Change 0.0131
Today’s Daily Change % 1.09
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2025
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.1988
50 Daily SMA 1.2239
100 Daily SMA 1.2553
200 Daily SMA 1.3013
levels
Previous Daily High 1,209
Previous Daily Minimum 1.1964
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2064
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.1854
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.2617
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.1934
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2012
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2042
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1963
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.19
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1836
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2089
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2153
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2215

Source: Fx Street

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