GBP/USD trades weak on Wednesday as markets wait for catalyst

  • The British pound remained in Wednesday's opening range.
  • The UK data caused some volatility, but with little movement.
  • US retail sales and PPI figures on barrel for Wednesday.

GBP/USD showed some volatility on Wednesday, but overall directional momentum remains limited, with the pair range-bound and anchored near the day's opening range, near 1.2790. Technical indicators fail to break above the 1.2800 level in the mid-week session, and investors are awaiting economic data.

UK industrial production fell -0.2% in January, after 0.6% in December, below the 0.0% forecast. UK monthly manufacturing output also fell, coming in at the expected 0.0% versus 0.8% previously. UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for January also met expectations and stood at 0.2%, up from -0.1% previously.

Weak US data on Wednesday leaves investors awaiting Thursday's retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) figures. US retail sales are expected to rebound in February, with the market average forecast at 0.8% following January's -0.8% decline. Meanwhile, February's core PPI is expected to decline slightly to 1.9% from 2.0% previously.

The week will conclude with the publication of the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index, which will remain at 76.9 points. Before that, UK consumers' average inflation expectations will be known early on Friday during the London market session. At a minimum, British consumers expect UK inflation to be around 3.3% for the next 12 months.

GBP/USD Technical Outlook

GBP/USD is entering a mid-week cycle, thrashing around in the mid-range as the pair grapples with an inflection point with price just above 1.2750. Hourly candles have dropped a potential breakout just below the 1.2900 area, and short-term action is set to consolidate until a stronger pattern emerges.

The daily candlesticks are returning to a strongly bid zone after a six-day bullish streak that ended quickly this week, with the pair failing to capture 1.2900. Consolidation plagues GBP/USD in the medium term, and a bullish bounce from the 200-day SMA at 1.2590 is seeing limited upside momentum.

GBP/USD hourly chart

GBP/USD daily chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Latest price today 1.2796
Today I change daily 0.0003
Today Daily change % 0.02
Today's daily opening 1.2793
Trends
SMA20 daily 1.2683
50 daily SMA 1.2682
SMA100 daily 1.2595
SMA200 daily 1.2589
Levels
Previous daily high 1.2824
Previous daily low 1.2746
Previous weekly high 1.2894
Previous weekly low 1.2652
Previous Monthly High 1.2773
Previous monthly low 1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 1.2776
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2794
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2751
Daily Pivot Point S2 1,271
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2674
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2829
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2865
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2906

Source: Fx Street

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