Home Markets GBP/USD trims early losses, remains negative near 1.2200

GBP/USD trims early losses, remains negative near 1.2200

GBP/USD trims early losses, remains negative near 1.2200
  • GBP/USD moves lower for the second day in a row amid a rebound in dollar demand.
  • Aggressive Fed expectations and recession fears continued to act as a tailwind for the USD.
  • Mostly upbeat UK PMI data offered sterling support and limited the pair’s losses.

The pair GBP/USD has struggled to take advantage of the previous day’s solid bounce of about 100 pips from the weekly low and has attracted some sales for the second day in a row Thursday. The pair has fallen to the 1.2170-1.2165 zone during the first part of the European session, although it has managed to bounce back a few pips later.

The US dollar was in demand again amid aggressive expectations around the Fed, and received additional support from the worsening global economic outlook, which in turn put downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. The markets seem to be convinced that the Federal Reserve will maintain its tightening policy to combat persistently high inflation and they have been pricing in a further 75 basis point rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in July. These bets were reaffirmed by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday, stating that continued rate hikes will be appropriate.

Also, investors remain concerned that more aggressive action by major central banks to rein in rising inflation will challenge the global economic recovery. Furthermore, the disappointing release of the Eurozone PMI indices for June increased fears of a possible recession and reinforced the safe-haven status of the dollar. The risk-off monetary flow led to an extension of the recent drop in US Treasury yields, capping dollar gains and extending some support to GBP/USD.

Apart from this, the data UK PMI mostly bullish, helped the pair recover nearly 50 pips from the daily low. However, it remains to be seen whether the GBP/USD pair is able to take advantage of the recovery attempt amid expectations that the Bank of England will opt for a more gradual approach to raising interest rates. This, coupled with the impasse between the UK and the EU over the Northern Ireland protocol to the Brexit deal, favors the bears and supports the prospects for a further short-term move lower in GBP/USD.

Market participants now await the US economic calendar, where the usual weekly initial jobless claims and June PMI data will be released. Additionally, traders will note Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s second day of testimony before the House Financial Services Committee. This, along with US bond yields and general market risk sentiment, will weigh on the dollar and provide some momentum to the GBP/USD pair.

GBP/USD technical levels


Last Price Today 1.2211
Today’s Daily Change -0.0055
Today’s Daily Change % -0.45
Today’s Daily Opening 1.2266
20 Daily SMA 1,241
50 Daily SMA 1.2514
100 Daily SMA 1.2898
200 Daily SMA 1.3206
Previous Daily High 1.2315
Previous Daily Minimum 1.2161
Previous Maximum Weekly 1.2407
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.1934
Monthly Prior Maximum 1.2667
Previous Monthly Minimum 1.2155
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1,222
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2256
Daily Pivot Point S1 1,218
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2094
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2026
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2334
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2401
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2487

Source: Fx Street



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