GBP/USD with modest intraday losses below 1.2800, lacks continuation

  • GBP/USD falls for the second day in a row, although the downside seems limited.
  • Rising US bond yields coupled with a softer risk tone benefit the USD and put pressure on the pair.
  • However, traders are reticent awaiting this week’s key data and central bank events.

The pair GBP/USD It attracts some sellers for the second day in a row on Tuesday and remains defensive at the start of the European session. The pair is currently trading around the 1.2775-1.2770 region, at a three-day lowstill not far from its highest level since April 2022 touched last Friday.

US dollar (USD) extends its recent recovery from lows in more than a month and is considered a key factor putting downward pressure on GBP/USD. The Federal Reserve (Fed) last week interrupted its tightening cycle of monetary policy but noted that borrowing costs may still have to rise by as much as 50 basis points before the end of the year. These forecasts have triggered a further rise in US Treasury yields, which, coupled with a more dovish risk tone, has sent the safe-haven dollar higher for the third day in a row.

Fear of a slowdown in the global economy, especially in China, dwarfs the interest rate cut by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC). This is reflected in weaker sentiment around equity markets and drives some safe-haven flows into the USD. Dollar bulls, however, seem reluctant to open aggressive positions, preferring to wait for further clues on the Fed’s future rate hike path. raised questions about the room for maneuver available to the US central bank to continue raising rates.

Therefore, attention will remain focused on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Wednesday and Thursday. Apart from this, speeches by a number of influential FOMC members will play a key role in driving demand for the USD. Meanwhile, expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will be much more aggressive in tightening its monetary policy to combat high inflation they should limit GBP/USD losses. This could discourage traders from taking new positions ahead of the UK consumer inflation data on Wednesday and the BoE meeting on Thursday.

GBP/USD technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Last price today 1.2782
Today Daily Variation -0.0010
today’s daily change -0.08
today’s daily opening 1.2792
Trends
daily SMA20 1.2513
daily SMA50 1.25
daily SMA100 1.2328
daily SMA200 1.2051
levels
previous daily high 1.2837
previous daily low 1,277
Previous Weekly High 1.2848
previous weekly low 1.2487
Previous Monthly High 1,268
Previous monthly minimum 1.2308
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1.2796
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1.2812
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2762
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2733
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2696
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2829
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2866
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2896

Source: Fx Street

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