GBPUSD falls towards 1.1850, focus on UK autumn budget

  • GBPUSD is coming under some selling pressure amid a modest rebound in demand for the dollar.
  • The rally in US bond yields and cautious markets benefit the dollar.
  • The decline looks limited as traders look forward to the UK government’s financial plan.

The pair GBPUSD pulls back sharply from the daily high of 1.1958 and falls to new daily lows around the 1.1850 zone during the first half of the European session.

US dollar gains some positive traction and reverses the modest losses of the previous day, which turns out to be a key factor putting some pressure on GBPUSD. Upbeat US retail sales data on Wednesday may have forced investors to lower their expectations for a less aggressive Fed tightening policy. This follows from a rebound in US Treasury yields, coupled with cautious market sentimentoffers some support to the safe-haven US dollar.

Investors seem concerned about the possibility that a new outbreak of COVID-19 in China will further affect activity against a backdrop of rapidly rising borrowing costs. Apart from this, the persistent geopolitical tension is weighing on global risk sentiment. That said, the growing acceptance that the Bank of England will continue to raise borrowing costs to combat stubbornly high inflation could act as a tailwind for sterling. This, in turn, should help limit any deeper losses for the GBPUSD pair.

The operators too may prefer to wait for the UK government’s financial plan before opening aggressive positions and positioning yourself for a firm direction in the short term. Chancellor Jeremy Hunt will release his Fall Budget later today and expected to reduce the size of the tax gap. This will play a key role in boosting the sentiment surrounding the British pound. Aside from this, traders will look to US macro data as a reference to take advantage of some short-term opportunities around the GBPUSD pair.

On Thursday’s US economic calendar will be the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index and the usual initial weekly jobless claims later in the American session. This, along with speeches from a number of FOMC members and broader market risk sentiment, will influence USD price dynamics and provide a significant boost to GBPUSD.

GBPUSD technical levels

GBP/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1.1869
Today’s Daily Change -0.0050
Today’s Daily Change % -0.42
Today’s Daily Open 1.1919
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1.1523
SMA of 50 Daily 1.1357
SMA of 100 Daily 1,165
SMA of 200 Daily 1.2241
levels
Previous Daily High 1.1942
Minimum Previous Daily 1.1832
Previous Weekly High 1.1855
Previous Weekly Minimum 1.1291
Maximum Prior Monthly 1.1646
Minimum Prior Monthly 1.0924
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1874
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1853
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1787
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1742
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1964
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2008
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.2075

Source: Fx Street

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