Germany: The Social Democrats are expanding their lead

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According to Marcel Fratcher, President of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), elections of the following Sunday at Germany will be crucial for the coming decades. This is the most important election since 1990, he claims.

“We have a huge delay in reforms. Germany is facing a major turning point in four key issues of the future: climate protection, digital transformation, economic transformation and global competition with China and the United States. Also on the issue of social polarization, which has intensified too much due to the pandemic. These are gigantic challenges for all generations. We have to be careful with the superlative points, but in these elections it will be decided where Germany will go for the next 50 years. “This is the most important federal election since 1990,” said the distinguished economist at the German News Agency (dpa).

Meanwhile the Social Democratic Party (SPD) expands its lead over Christian Democrats / Christian Socialists according to a new poll by Kantar Institute, which was conducted on behalf of Focus magazine. The SPD now leads by 6 Christian Democrats / Christian Socialists (CDU / CSU) percentage points.

  • According to this poll, the Social Democrats are gaining a percentage point compared to the previous week and now reach 26% (+1). They are followed by Christian Democrats and Christian Socialists (CDU / CSU) with 20% (-1%).
  • They are followed by the Greens with 17%, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) with 12% (their percentage remains unchanged), the Liberal Party (FDP) with 11% (-1%) and the Left (die Linke) with 6% , the percentage of which also remains unchanged.

Also, according to his research Infratest Institute on behalf of the first public service broadcaster (ARD), if federal elections were held next Sunday, the Christian Democrats and Christian Socialists (CDU / CSU) would receive 22% (+2 points compared to a similar poll in early September). party (SPD) 26 % (+1).

  • The Greens (Die Gruenen) 15% (-1%), the Alternative for Germany (AfD) 11% (-1%), the Liberal Party (FDP) also 11% (-2). The percentage of the Left remains 6%. All other parties together would receive 9%.

In the event of these results, an SPD and CDU / CSU coalition would theoretically be possible, as well as tripartite alliances led by the SPD with the Greens and the FDP, but also with the Greens and the Left. A coalition led by Christian Democrats / Christian Socialists with the Greens and the FDP would also be mathematically possible, APE BPE reports, citing German media.

Besides, the 40% (-3% compared to early September) would vote, according to the poll, for the SPD candidate Olaf Solts if he could directly elect the chancellor. 19% (+ 3%) would prefer Christian Democrat and Christian Socialist candidate Armin Lassett and 13% (+ 1%) would prefer Green nominee Alena Berbock. Three out of ten Germans, ie 28% (-1%) still do not prefer any of the three for chancellor.

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