Glassnode: Bitcoin is stuck in a transitional phase

The price of bitcoin (BTC) has been falling since mid-February. But this does not mean that the bull market should be forgotten – according to on-chain data, the asset is now in a transitional phase.

In a March 6 report by Glassnode analysts notedthat bitcoin has been thrown off a number of psychological levels. In their opinion, this was due to the actions of whales and old BTC holders. At the moment, the asset is trading in a narrow range with very little volume.

Bitcoin markets are still weak

Glassnode notes that the $23,500 level serves as an important psychological barrier. A price break above this mark will return most investors to the profit zone. According to the Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) indicator, BTC holders now have a net unrealized profit of about 15% of the market value.

The NUPL on-chain indicator is used to calculate the profit or loss of all coins in circulation. It can be calculated as the difference between total and realized market capitalization and then dividing the result by the first value. NUPL shows whether the value of all coins has become higher or lower compared to the last movement, if all of them were sold today. Negative values ​​(below zero) indicate that the market is in the zone of cumulative losses, and vice versa.

Analysts stressed that the current state of the market is definitely reminiscent of a phase that usually occurs in the late stages of a bear cycle and drew attention to the growing volume of transfers, which can be regarded as a sign of investors returning to the market.

Since the beginning of January, the monthly volume of transfers has increased by 79% to $9.5 billion per day. However, the figure is still below the annual average. A break above the 356-day moving average in 30 days would mean a massive influx of institutional capital.

What happens to the BTC price

The price of bitcoin has hardly changed since March 3, when it fell by more than 5% in an hour. The asset made a couple of breakouts above $22,500 in these few days, but they were unsuccessful.

At press time, Bitcoin is trading at $22,448. However, everything could change after today’s speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before the US Senate Banking Committee, which will take place at 18:00 Moscow time.

Source: Cryptocurrency

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