Gold is maintained above $ 3,300 as geopolitical risks and US debt problems increase.

  • The gold goes up while the operators prepare for the vote on the Trump Debt Fiscal Law Project.
  • The moody’s reduction and the fall of the US dollar feed the demand for safe refuge for gold.
  • The disturbances in the Middle East compensate for the relaxation of commercial tensions between the US and China, maintaining the appetite for the contained risk.

Gold prices advance more than 0.50% and remain above the 3,300 $ brand while operators are increasingly nervous about the vote of the United States Fiscal Law (USA), together with the growing tensions in the Middle East. The XAU/USD quote $ 3.307 after bouncing from a daily minimum of $ 3,285.

The mood of the market remains pessimistic, since the main rates of US shares record losses while the yield bonds of the US Treasury rise. Market participants are waiting for the approval of President Trump’s tax cuts bill, which, according to the Congress Budget Office (CBO), would add almost 3.8 billion dollars to the US national debt.

The approval could support US actions. However, the dollar reaction is uncertain after the reduction of Moody’s to the US government debt last Friday, which caused a sale of the USD, as indicated by the index of the US dollar (DXY).

The DXY, which tracks the performance of the US currency compared to another six, falls 0.52% to 99.49, which acts as a wind in favor for gold prices.

Increased tensions in the Middle East promoted gold prices, despite the fact that tensions between China and the US were broken down, since Beijing and Washington substantially reduced tariffs for 90 days to initiate negotiations in order to achieve a commercial agreement.

This week, the operators will be attentive to the Fed speeches, the preliminary PMIS, the housing data and the initial unemployment applications.

Daily Gold Market Movements: Gold is recovered amid high yields of US Treasury Bonds and a weak dollar

  • The yields of the US Treasury bonds are shooting, since the 10 -year bonus yield of the US rises nine basic points to 4.58%. Meanwhile, US real yields also upload nine basic points to 2,229%.
  • Gold prices are rising due to concerns about the increase in US debt last week, Moody’s, the International Qualification Agency, reduced the qualification of the US government of AAA to AA1, which promoted gold prices by getting rid of the US dollar and worsening the fiscal position of the United States.
  • On Tuesday, those responsible for the Federal Reserve Policy (FED) commented that monetary policy is appropriate, recognizing that the increase in US import tariffs is prone to inflation and justifies maintaining rates.
  • The price of gold could extend its profits, driven by geopolitical news. On Tuesday, CNN, citing multiple sources, revealed that Israel is preparing to attack Iranian nuclear facilities.
  • The data of the Chicago Commerce Board (CBOT) suggest that the operators are discounting 48.5 basic points of relaxation towards the end of the year.

Xau/USD technical perspective: Gold ready to test $ 3,350 while the bulls take impulse

The recovery of the price of gold was extended for the third consecutive day, since the price action has registered successive days of higher and higher minimums, with attentive buyers at key levels of resistance. The momentum, as indicated by the relative force index (RSI), suggests that the upward trend will continue before the RSI reaches overcompra territory, which could justify a pause on the road.

Therefore, the first gold resistance would be the psychological level of $ 3,350. Once exceeded, the following objective would be $ 3,400, followed by the maximum daily of May 7, $ 338, before trying the historical maximum (ATH) of $ 3,500.

For a bassist reversal, gold bassists must drag cash prices below $ 3,300. Once surpassed, the immediate support appears in a minimum daily of May 20, $ 3,204, before the simple mobile average (SMA) of 50 days at $ 3,184.

FAQS GOLD


Gold has played a fundamental role in the history of mankind, since it has been widely used as a deposit of value and a half of exchange. At present, apart from its brightness and use for jewelry, precious metal is considered an active refuge, which means that it is considered a good investment in turbulent times. Gold is also considered a coverage against inflation and depreciation of currencies, since it does not depend on any specific issuer or government.


Central banks are the greatest gold holders. In their objective of supporting their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy gold to improve the perception of strength of the economy and currency. High gold reserves can be a source of trust for the solvency of a country. Central banks added 1,136 tons of gold worth 70,000 million to their reservations in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. It is the largest annual purchase since there are records. The central banks of emerging economies such as China, India and Türkiye are rapidly increasing their gold reserves.


Gold has a reverse correlation with the US dollar and US Treasury bonds, which are the main reserve and shelter assets. When the dollar depreciates, the price of gold tends to rise, which allows investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rebound in the stock market tends to weaken the price of gold, while mass sales in higher risk markets tend to favor precious metal.


The price of gold can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fear of a deep recession can cause the price of gold to rise rapidly due to its condition of active refuge. As an asset without yield, the price of gold tends to rise when interest rates lower, while the money increases to the yellow metal. Even so, most movements depend on how the US dollar (USD) behaves, since the asset is quoted in dollars (Xau/USD). A strong dollar tends to keep the price of gold controlled, while a weakest dollar probably thrusts gold prices.

Source: Fx Street

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