Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD appreciates on falling inflation, dollar and yields – ANZ

Lower-than-expected inflation in the US is putting downward pressure on the dollar. This, coupled with lower real yields, is allowing gold to retest $1,800, bank economists report ANZ.

No strategic gold ETF purchases have emerged

“Reversing inflation in the US triggered a sell-off in the dollar, which in turn supported the price of gold. Benchmark US real yields are also stabilizing from their recent highs, lowering “Opportunity costs. That said, inflation remains well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, making it hard to expect the Fed to be dovish any time soon.”

“Short-covering of investor positions has been driving the gold price up, but strategic positioning of ETF holdings has not been strong.”

“Physical demand is weakening, as seen in the receding spot premium since October, but official purchases are holding up.”

Source: Fx Street

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