Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bounces back after hitting new lows in months

  • Gold tries to return above $1730, remains under pressure.
  • Treasury bond yields up modestly.
  • Operators with the focus on the US inflation data.

Gold is rising modestly on Wednesday ahead of the key US inflation report for June. Hours ago, XAU/USD fell to $1,722.45, the lowest level since September 2021.

tense calm

In general, financial markets are trading somewhat calmly on Wednesday, favoring range-bound trading. This impacts gold and silver which move in small ranges.

The XAU/USD is trading at daily highs at $1729. At $1732 it may face an upcoming resistance at $1732 and then the $1750 barrier will follow. A break above could enable further rallies and ease current bearish pressures. Should it break below $1,720, it would be at its lowest since July 2021. Next support can be seen at the $1,707 area followed by $1,700.

Looking ahead to the next few hours, the key data ahead is June inflation in the US, which is expected to rise from 8.6% to 8.8% in annual terms, and the core rate to fall from 6% to 5.8%. These figures can have a big impact on the yield of Treasury bonds, and therefore on the price of gold.

The 10 year bond yield it is at 2.95%, and that of 30 years at 3.14%; above Tuesday’s levels. On the other hand, Wall Street futures are trading slightly higher.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1727.73
Today Daily Change 1.69
Today Daily Change % 0.10
Today daily open 1726.04
trends
Daily SMA20 1800.97
Daily SMA50 1828.32
Daily SMA100 1882.51
Daily SMA200 1845.49
levels
Previous Daily High 1744.5
Previous Daily Low 1723.32
Previous Weekly High 1814.37
Previous Weekly Low 1730.73
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1731.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1736.41
Daily Pivot Point S1 1718.07
Daily Pivot Point S2 1710.11
Daily Pivot Point S3 1696.89
Daily Pivot Point R1 1739.25
Daily Pivot Point R2 1752.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 1760.43

Source: Fx Street

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