Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bounces from $1815 but loses steam above $1830

  • Weakness in gold persists, although it is still far from $1,800.
  • The dollar with mixed results the day after the rise of the Fed.

Gold is falling modestly on Thursday, in another day of central bank interest rate hikes. The precious metal trimmed losses but still looks weak, unable to return above $1,840.

Government bond yields across the world remain on a rising path in most countries, which is one factor that may be holding back gold. In turn, the negative climate in the stock markets does not help the demand for the yellow metal either.

The positive is that the dollar shows some weakness the day after the historic rise in interest rates by the Federal Reserve 75 basis points. Interest rates rose today Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England.

Gold bottomed at $1,814 on Thursday but then bounced back to $1,833. It is trading around $1827, with a modest drop for the day.

Without being able to return above the 20-day average

At the beginning of the week the XAU/USD had a sharp drop, which brought the price below the 20-day moving average. The mentioned average is around $1842, and it became a relevant level. In case of clearly returning above, gold could improve the picture. Above the next resistances are seen at $1860 and $1870.

The short-term bias is still to the downside and another test of the week’s low at $1805 remains within the realm of possibility. Losing that level could lead to an acceleration to the downside towards the May low of $1,786.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1829.17
Today’s Daily Change -4.63
Today’s Daily Change % -0.25
Today’s Daily Opening 1833.8
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1847.69
50 Daily SMA 1877.77
100 Daily SMA 1889.57
200 Daily SMA 1842.41
levels
Previous Daily High 1841.99
Previous Daily Minimum 1807.56
Previous Maximum Weekly 1876.01
Previous Weekly Minimum 1825.1
Monthly Prior Maximum 1909.83
Previous Monthly Minimum 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1828.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1820.71
Daily Pivot Point S1 1813.58
Daily Pivot Point S2 1793.35
Daily Pivot Point S3 1779.15
Daily Pivot Point R1 1848.01
Daily Pivot Point R2 1862.21
Daily Pivot Point R3 1882.44

Source: Fx Street

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