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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Erases Friday Bounce and Approaches Years Low

  • Gold fails to sustain the rebound and marks daily lows at $1,659.
  • Bearish pressure continues at the start of a busy week.

Gold started the week in the negative, erasing Friday’s strong rebound and showing that it remains under strong downward pressure. The price of the yellow metal tested $1680 in Asian hours but then changed direction and reached daily lows below $1660. In the previous American session, it is trading around $1,664, close to the lows in years.

XAU/USD fell to $1,653 on Friday, the lowest level since April 2020. From where it bounced giving the bulls some hope, but these did not last long. A return above firm $1675 could ease downside pressures. Then resistances are seen at $1680 and $1695.

The dominant trend is bearish and the XAU/USD appears to be set for lower to continue below the key long-term support of the $1675 area. Below the recent low, the next strong support can be seen at $1640/35.

From the fundamental point of view, gold is affected by rising government bond yields, firmer dollar and risk aversion. Yields advance at the start of a busy week that is expected to see interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank. The Bank of Japan will also decide, but here there is no expectation of a rate hike.

The dollar index rises 0.40% and trades above 110.00, approaching the highs of last week. Futures of the Wall Street indexes operate in negative with falls close to 1%.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1664.35
Today Daily Change -10.41
Today Daily Change % -0.62
Today daily open 1674.76
trends
Daily SMA20 1716.79
Daily SMA50 1737.26
Daily SMA100 1785.5
Daily SMA200 1831.32
levels
Previous Daily High 1680.39
Previous Daily Low 1654.17
Previous Weekly High 1735.17
Previous Weekly Low 1654.17
Previous Monthly High 1807.93
Previous Monthly Low 1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1670.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1664.19
Daily Pivot Point S1 1659.16
Daily Pivot Point S2 1643.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 1632.94
Daily Pivot Point R1 1685.38
Daily Pivot Point R2 1695.99
Daily Pivot Point R3 1711.6

Source: Fx Street

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