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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends correction towards $1,830 after US data.

  • The dollar strengthens in general after the US economic data.
  • Gold accelerates downward correction after a four-day positive streak.
  • US yields break higher, Wall Street turns negative.

gold prices They fell more than 1% on Thursday, retreating from the highest level since mid-June amid a stronger USD and rising Treasury yields. The XAU/USD pair posted a fresh two-day low at $1,831/oz.

The dollar wakes up after the data, before the NFP

Gold was already trading lower on Thursday as US economic data strengthened the dollar and triggered a sell-off in Treasuries. The ADP jobs report showed private payrolls rising at 235,000 above the market consensus of 150,000. Initial claims for jobless benefits fell more than expected to 204,000, the lowest level since September.

Markets reacted to the economic data, after staying calm after the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. The DXY rose to 104.96, the highest level in three weeks, while US bonds fell. The US 10-year bond yield rose from 3.70% to 3.76%, while the 2-year bond jumped from 4.39% to 4.48%, the highest level since late November.

The yellow metal decisively broke below $1,850 and fell as low as $1,831. It is hovering around $1,835 after the negative opening of Wall Street. The Dow Jones fell 0.75% and the Nasdaq fell 0.79%.

XAU/USD looks vulnerable at the moment, but losses look limited as long as it holds above the $1,830 area. The mentioned zone is a strong support that if broken should open the doors to another leg down. To the upside, a recovery above $1,850 would change the intraday outlook to positive.

technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Last price today 1836.17
Today Daily Variation -19.21
today’s daily variation -1.04
today’s daily opening 1855.38
Trends
daily SMA20 1806.47
daily SMA50 1760.84
daily SMA100 1725.02
daily SMA200 1778.94
levels
previous daily high 1865.15
previous daily low 1836.25
Previous Weekly High 1833.38
previous weekly low 1797.11
Previous Monthly High 1833.38
Previous monthly minimum 1765.89
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1854.11
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1847.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 1839.37
Daily Pivot Point S2 1823.36
Daily Pivot Point S3 1810.47
Daily Pivot Point R1 1868.27
Daily Pivot Point R2 1881.16
Daily Pivot Point R3 1897.17

Source: Fx Street

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