Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD falls back to $1870 from eight-month high of $1880

  • Gold hits eight-month highs on Monday as the dollar remains weak.
  • Stocks and commodities rise on Monday, further supporting the yellow metal.
  • No impact data on Monday, the most relevant of the week US CPI on Thursday.

Gold rallied as high as $1,880.90 on Monday, hitting its highest since early May. After this, XAU/USD lost steam and fell back to $1,871, paring some of the day’s gains. The uptrend remains firm.

Weak dollar and risk appetite

After slumping on Friday following US economic data that included the official jobs report, the dollar still weakened. The treasury bond yields they had a sharp fall and today they look more stable, which helps to give the greenback some support. The DXY is at 103.70, looking closely at the December lows.

Signs of slowing inflation along with economic data pointing to a slowdown are fueling speculation that the Federal Reserve may be close to ending the interest rate hike cycle. This works against the dollar, and in favor of bonds and stocks. Contributing to the good mood, today China reopened its borders after three years. At the same time, the wave of infections in the Asian giant is already a matter of global concern.

Technically gold remains bullish, now with the key support in the area of ​​1,860/$65. A dip below could ease upside pressures. Then the next critical support is in the $1,830/$35 area. To the upside, the next relevant barrier before $1,900 is at $1,890.

technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1872.99
Today’s Daily Change 6.00
Today’s Daily Change % 0.32
Today’s Daily Open 1866.99
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1812.3
SMA of 50 Daily 1768.68
SMA of 100 Daily 1726.95
SMA of 200 Daily 1778.09
levels
Previous Daily High 1869.91
Minimum Previous Daily 1830.62
Previous Weekly High 1869.91
Previous Weekly Minimum 1823.76
Maximum Prior Monthly 1833.38
Minimum Prior Monthly 1765.89
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1854.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1845.63
Daily Pivot Point S1 1841.77
Daily Pivot Point S2 1816.55
Daily Pivot Point S3 1802.48
Daily Pivot Point R1 1881.06
Daily Pivot Point R2 1895.13
Daily Pivot Point R3 1920.35

Source: Fx Street

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