Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD falls from $1670 to $1645 zone

  • After a jump at the start of the week, gold then pulled back into negative territory.
  • Rise in yields and in the dollar it took strength from the yellow metal.
  • The dominant trend is bearish, with no clear signals in the very short term.

The Prayed it is trading just below $1650, somewhat calm after a volatile Asian session. At the beginning of the week, XAU/USD rose to $1,670, the highest in a week, but then changed direction.

The continuity of the rally on Friday, after a report that the Fed would evaluate the magnitude of the hikes at the next meeting, had boosted the metal at the beginning of the week. Worse after reaching a peak, the situation changed with the dollar beginning to recover ground. Equity markets then also fell, further weakening gold.

The XAU/USD fell to $1644, before paring losses. If it rises above $1,655, gold could regain strength. The next resistance is at $1658 and then at the peak of $1670. In the opposite direction, if it consolidates below $1645, the negative tone could intensify. Supports are seen at $1640 and then $1620.

In a more general look, the dominant trend in gold is down. The key support at the moment is $1610/15, the bottom this year. In weekly terms, the yellow metal avoided a close below $1,640, which would enable further declines.

XAU/USD weekly chart

XAUUSD

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1648.09
Today’s Daily Change -9.26
Today’s Daily Change % -0.56
Today’s Daily Opening 1657.35
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1665.97
50 Daily SMA 1696.19
100 Daily SMA 1739.67
200 Daily SMA 1814.23
levels
Previous Daily High 1658.24
Previous Daily Minimum 1617.35
Previous Maximum Weekly 1668.53
Previous Weekly Minimum 1617.35
Monthly Prior Maximum 1735.17
Previous Monthly Minimum 1614.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1642.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1632.97
Daily Pivot Point S1 1630.39
Daily Pivot Point S2 1603.42
Daily Pivot Point S3 1589.5
Daily Pivot Point R1 1671.28
Daily Pivot Point R2 1685.2
Daily Pivot Point R3 1712.17

Source: Fx Street

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