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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD falls to two-year lows below $1,670

  • Gold price falls to two-year low below $1,670
  • Expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue tightening its monetary policy weighed on the yellow metal.
  • US retail sales continue to show the strength of the US economy.

the price of gold falls below the psychological level of $1,700, reaching a new two-year low at $1,665.30, due to expectations that the US Federal Reserve will continue to tighten monetary conditions, causing a rise of US Treasury yields. Therefore, the dollar did the same, but trimmed earlier gains. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $1,666 a troy ounce.

Gold price falls on rising US Treasury yields.

US Treasury yields rose on expectations that the Fed could raise rates by 75-100 basis points. 2-year US Treasury bond yields, the most sensitive to rate hikes, hit a high of 3.84%, while 10-year Treasury bond yields stood at 3.437%, gaining three points. basics. Notably, the yield curve inverted further, with the spread between 2-year and 10-year yields widening to -0.403%, as market participants expected that an aggressive Fed could derail the US economy, plunging it into a recession.

US retail sales for August, released by the US Commerce Department, surprisingly rose, after falling a month earlier, with readings rising 0.3%, beating estimates of -0.1%.

Meanwhile, US economic data released by the Labor Department showed that initial jobless claims for the week ending September 10 were 213,000, down from the week’s reading. above and is lower than estimates of 227,000.

Manufacturing indices from the New York and Philadelphia Fed showed mixed results. New York’s Empire State manufacturing sector improved but remained on the contraction side, while the Philadelphia Fed index fell to the contraction side after rallying in the August report.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1667.19
Today’s Daily Change -30.03
Today’s Daily Change % -1.77
Today’s Daily Opening 1697.22
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1725.12
50 Daily SMA 1740.12
100 Daily SMA 1790.02
200 Daily SMA 1832.43
levels
Previous Daily High 1707.2
Previous Daily Minimum 1693.76
Previous Maximum Weekly 1729.57
Previous Weekly Minimum 1691.47
Monthly Prior Maximum 1807.93
Previous Monthly Minimum 1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1698.89
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1702.07
Daily Pivot Point S1 1691.59
Daily Pivot Point S2 1685.95
Daily Pivot Point S3 1678.15
Daily Pivot Point R1 1705.03
Daily Pivot Point R2 1712.83
Daily Pivot Point R3 1718.47

Source: Fx Street

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