Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits 1-week highs after US data.

  • Gold gains momentum after ISM US Manufacturing.
  • XAU/USD extends its rebound from monthly lows and tests $1,930/oz.
  • The dollar loses ground and US yields retreat from their weekly highs.

Following the weaker-than-expected US economic data release, the price of gold jumped to $1,931, hitting the highest level in a week. The weak data sent the dollar down and boosted US Treasury yields.

US ISM Manufacturing disappoints expectations

The US ISM manufacturing PMI fell from 46.9 to 46.0, falling short of expectations for a modest recovery to 47.2. The prices paid index also fell, from 44.2 to 41.8, while employment fell from 51.4 to 41.8.

These figures indicate the persistence of problems in the manufacturing sector and less pressure on prices, which weighed on the US dollar. As a result, the DXY fell to 102.75, testing Friday’s lows, while the US 10-year yield pulled back from 3.86% and bottomed at 3.78%.

Upon reporting, the XAU/USD pair rallied as high as $1,931, but failed to hold above $1,930. It is currently hovering around $1,926, rising for the second straight day of trading.

Gold continues to bounce after Thursday’s slide to $1,982, the lowest level since March. Although the technical outlook for the yellow metal has improved in the short term, the bias on the daily chart remains bearish, with the price holding well below the 20-day SMA of $1,936.

technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Last price today 1927.35
daily change today 7.27
today’s daily variation 0.38
today’s daily opening 1920.08
Trends
daily SMA20 1938.92
daily SMA50 1969.1
daily SMA100 1944.5
Daily SMA200 1859.43
levels
previous daily high 1922.78
previous daily low 1900.57
Previous Weekly High 1933.39
previous weekly low 1893.01
Previous Monthly High 1983.5
Previous monthly minimum 1893.01
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1914.3
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1909.05
Daily Pivot Point S1 1906.17
Daily Pivot Point S2 1892.27
Daily Pivot Point S3 1883.96
Daily Pivot Point R1 1928.38
Daily Pivot Point R2 1936.69
Daily Pivot Point R3 1950.59

Source: Fx Street

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