Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Holds on to Gains Near $1,860 Amid Falling Yields

  • Gold price extends a five-day rally amid a broadly weakened US dollar.
  • Risk aversion and falling Treasury yields fuel XAU/USD gains.
  • A daily close above the 21-day SMA is key to further rallies.

The price of gold (XAU/USD) is returning to the highest levels in two weeks, while the bulls continue to receive support from the fall in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Risk aversion continues, accentuated by the weakness of the Eurozone and UK PMIs, which drives the demand for shelter in US public debt. This, in turn, weighs on Treasury yields, favoring the rise in non-yielding gold.

Besides, the yellow metal also benefits from a broadly weakened US dollar. The USD came under renewed selling pressure after the EUR/USD pair rallied sharply following the last aggressive comments of the president of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. The dollar keeps its corrective mode intact ahead of Wednesday’s release of the FOMC’s May meeting minutes.

The growing geopolitical tensions between the US and China over Taiwan they also bode well for the traditional safe haven of gold. US President Joe Biden remains committed to engaging militarily to defend the self-ruled island that China claims. Asked if there had been any change in policy after Monday’s remarks, Biden said “no.”

The focus now turns to the US manufacturing and services PMIs to be released later in the American session for further clues on risk sentiment and dollar dynamics.

gold daily chart

Prayed

A daily close above the 21-day SMA is needed at $1,857 to confirm a bullish turn, exposing a further rally towards the slightly bullish 100 SMA on $1,885. Before that, the level of $1,870 Dollars could challenge bearish commitment.

On the other hand, immediate support is found at the psychological level of $1,850. Sellers will then target the horizontal 200 SMA at $1,839. Acceptance below this last level will trigger a further drop to $1,800.

Gold additional levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1857.41
Today’s Daily Change 3.87
Today’s Daily Change % 0.21
Today’s Daily Opening 1853.54
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1856.64
50 Daily SMA 1906.99
100 Daily SMA 1884.8
200 Daily SMA 1838.47
levels
Previous Daily High 1865.47
Previous Daily Minimum 1843.78
Previous Maximum Weekly 1849.45
Previous Weekly Minimum 1786.94
Monthly Prior Maximum 1998.43
Previous Monthly Minimum 1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1857.18
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1852.07
Daily Pivot Point S1 1843.06
Daily Pivot Point S2 1832.57
Daily Pivot Point S3 1821.37
Daily Pivot Point R1 1864.75
Daily Pivot Point R2 1875.95
Daily Pivot Point R3 1886.44

Source: Fx Street

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