Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD moves above $1,960 amid mixed responses to Fed policy

  • Gold price is showing a back and forth movement above $1,960.00 as investors are undecided on Fed policy.
  • Investors are concerned that the US CPI could prove more persistent.
  • The gold price is bidding in a symmetrical triangle, indicating a contraction in volatility.

The price of gold (USD/XAU) is showing reversal movements around $1,963.00 at the beginning of the American session. The precious metal has become choppy as general sentiment is showing mixed responses towards the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision.

In a place where US labor market conditions are releasing heat, investors remain concerned that the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) could prove more persistent.

US stocks are expected to open positively as S&P 500 futures have posted big gains in the European session. Market sentiment is quite bullish as the US economy is expected to show resilience going forward.

The latest data from the Fed shows that lending and deposit activities have increased consecutively for three weeks at commercial banks in the week ending May 31. Business demand for credit appears robust despite Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s aggressive tightening of monetary policy.

The Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to extend its rally above 103.50 as investors prepare for the US open after the weekend.

Gold Technical Analysis

The gold price is bidding in a Symmetrical Triangle on a four-hour scale, indicating a contraction in volatility. The uptrend line of the aforementioned chart pattern is drawn from the May 30 low at $1,932.12, while the downtrend line starts from the May 17 high at $1,993.13. Horizontal support lies from the March 15 high at $1,943.58.

The 200-period EMA at $1,971.77 acts as a roadblock for gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) oscillates in the 40.00-60.00 range, showing non-directional behavior.

Looking ahead, if it breaks above the June 1 high at $1,982.72, Gold bulls will continue to rally towards the May 5 low around $2,000.00, followed by the April 17 high at around $2,017.00.

Conversely, a break below the June 7 low at $1,939.72 will drag Gold bulls towards the May 18 low at $1,918.31 and round level support at $1,900.00.

4 hour chart gold

XAU/USD

Overview
Last price today 1960.93
Today Change Daily -0.31
Today Daily Variation % -0.02
today daily opening 1961.24
Trends
daily SMA20 1964.94
Daily SMA50 1990.17
daily SMA100 1941.2
Daily SMA200 1841.6
levels
previous daily high 1973.15
previous daily low 1956.65
Previous Weekly High 1973.15
previous weekly low 1938.15
Previous Monthly High 2079.76
Previous monthly minimum 1932.12
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1962.95
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1966.85
Daily Pivot Point S1 1954.21
Daily Pivot Point S2 1947.18
Daily Pivot Point S3 1937.71
Daily Pivot Point R1 1970.71
Daily Pivot Point R2 1980.18
Daily Pivot Point R3 1987.21

Source: Fx Street

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