Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD moves higher but lacks bullish conviction

  • A drop in US bond yields weighs on the USD and helps gold regain positive traction on Tuesday.
  • Expectations of an aggressive Fed rate hike and risk appetite prevented the yellow metal from gaining ground.
  • Market attention will continue to be focused on the release of Wednesday’s US consumer inflation figures.

The gold price (XAU/USD) has gained some positive traction on Tuesday and has recovered some of the previous day’s decline near the $1,850 level, or a nearly three-month low hit last week. XAU/USD moves higher during the European session and is trading just below the daily high, around the $1,862 region.

A softer tone around US Treasury yields. kept dollar bulls on the defensive, which in turn was seen as a key factor offering some support to the dollar-denominated yellow metal. Apart of this, concerns about weakening global growth and the possibility of a recession they further propped up gold as a safe haven.

However, a combination of factors prevented the bulls from opening aggressive positions and prevented the price of gold from rising further. The good recovery in US equity futures, coupled with the prospect of a more aggressive tightening of Federal Reserve policy, prevented investors from opening bullish positions on gold.which offers no performance.

In fact, the markets seem to be convinced that the Federal Reserve will have to take more drastic measures to fight inflation persistently high and have been eyeing further rate hikes of 200 basis points for the rest of 2022. Therefore, attention will continue to be focused on the latest US CPI consumer inflation figures for April, to be released on Wednesday.

Meanwhile, expectations of a rapid rise in US interest rates should act as a tailwind for the dollar and limit gold prices. In the absence of any major economic releases, dollar price dynamics and general market risk sentiment will be taken into account to take advantage of some short-term opportunities around XAU/USD.

gold technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1862.23
Today’s Daily Change 8.03
Today’s Daily Change % 0.43
Today’s Daily Opening 1854.2
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1917.48
50 Daily SMA 1934.65
100 Daily SMA 1882.27
200 Daily SMA 1835.6
levels
Previous Daily High 1885.82
Previous Daily Minimum 1851.8
Previous Maximum Weekly 1909.83
Previous Weekly Minimum 1850.44
Monthly Prior Maximum 1998.43
Previous Monthly Minimum 1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1864.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1872.82
Daily Pivot Point S1 1842.06
Daily Pivot Point S2 1829.92
Daily Pivot Point S3 1808.04
Daily Pivot Point R1 1876.08
Daily Pivot Point R2 1897.96
Daily Pivot Point R3 1910.1

Source: Fx Street

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