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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD New 2-Year Low, Approaches $1600

  • Gold resumes declines after brief upward correction.
  • Rise in US yields and dollar strength keep XAU/USD under pressure.
  • 10-year bond exceeded 4% for the first time in more than a decade.

The Prayed resumed the downward path and fell to $1614, reaching the lowest level since April 2020. Downside pressures on metals remain firm, in a context of risk aversion and rise in sovereign bond yields.

The XAU/USD It traded above $1,640 on Tuesday, but failed to consolidate and started losing ground in the American session. Since then it has moved in a bearish direction, breaking through the $1,620 area and making new lows.

The next support looms at $1610 and then the round zone at $1600 appears. The negative moment remains firm. In intraday terms, a rally above $1,628 could ease bearish pressures temporarily.. Just a firm return above $1,650 would be a factor that could anticipate a more sustained respite.

Market conditions remain negative for gold. The main factor behind it is what is happening in the sovereign bond market. The rises are widespread. The 10-year US Treasury bond topped 4% on Wednesday for the first time in more than a decade.

Another negative element is risk aversion which further strengthens the US dollar. DXY is at 20-year highs above 114.50. Wall Street futures point to a negative opening with falls of more than 1.05% on average.

The US economic calendar for Wednesday highlights the pending home sales report for August, the foreign trade report and a presentation by Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1618.31
Today Daily Change -10.75
Today Daily Change % -0.66
Today daily open 1629.06
trends
Daily SMA20 1686.23
Daily SMA50 1728.21
Daily SMA100 1770.66
Daily SMA200 1826.72
levels
Previous Daily High 1642.5
Previous Daily Low 1621.76
Previous Weekly High 1688.11
Previous Weekly Low 1639.85
Previous Monthly High 1807.93
Previous Monthly Low 1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1634.58
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1629.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 1619.71
Daily Pivot Point S2 1610.37
Daily Pivot Point S3 1598.97
Daily Pivot Point R1 1640.45
Daily Pivot Point R2 1651.85
Daily Pivot Point R3 1661.19

Source: Fx Street

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