Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Pulls Back Before Fed, Still Firm Above $1800

  • The decision and the statement from the Federal Reserve are awaited.
  • Gold slightly bearish on Wednesday, but validating previous gains.
  • Price begins to assert itself over $1800.

Gold is falling modestly on Wednesday, hitting a daily low of $1806 and failing to break above $1815. It is holding onto some of the rally from Tuesday when it spiked after the US inflation data. The focus now is on the Federal Reserve.

Calm before more volatility

On Tuesday, the US inflation data below expectations, pulled down the US dollar and sent metals up. The decline in Treasury yields led the XAU/USD to $1,824, the highest since the end of June this year. The yellow metal then eased higher to close around $1810. Before the data it was trading at $1789.

Despite the $15+ Retracement from the Peak, Gold Retains Much of the Gains and a bullish tone. Next resistance is at $1815, followed by the $1830 area. In the opposite direction, now $1,795/$1,800 is relevant support which, if it yields, will take out bullish strength.

For hours the price of the XAU/USD has been moving sideways, with limited ranges. This could change radically considering that on the afternoon of the American session the decision of the Federal Reserve. A rise of 50 basis points is expected. In addition, new projections will be released and Powell will give a press conference. What the US central bank says can have a big impact on metals. There will be a host of events on Thursday that may cause volatility to continue.

technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1808.89
Today’s Daily Change -1.59
Today’s Daily Change % -0.09
Today’s Daily Open 1810.48
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1769.32
SMA of 50 Daily 1714.31
SMA of 100 Daily 1719.53
SMA of 200 Daily 1790.39
levels
Previous Daily High 1824.55
Minimum Previous Daily 1780.06
Previous Weekly High 1810.12
Previous Weekly Minimum 1765.89
Maximum Prior Monthly 1786.55
Minimum Prior Monthly 1616.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1807.55
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1797.06
Daily Pivot Point S1 1785.51
Daily Pivot Point S2 1760.54
Daily Pivot Point S3 1741.02
Daily Pivot Point R1 1830
Daily Pivot Point R2 1849.52
Daily Pivot Point R3 1874.49

Source: Fx Street

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