Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back further from two-week highs after ISM Services PMI

  • US service sector data beats expectations, with no significant surprises.
  • Treasury yields bounce off daily lows.
  • The XAU/USD pair continues to pull back from two-week highs and tests $1,840.

Gold prices they weakened after the US data, however remained positive for the day and the week. XAU/USD fell to the $1,840/oz area, pulling back from a previous two-week high near $1,850.

The US ISM services PMI returns figures that beat expectations

The ISM services PMI came in at 55.1 in February, above the 54.5 expected and slightly below the 55.2 in January. The Prices Paid Index fell from 67.8 to 65.5, above the 64.5 of the market consensus. Heading into NFP week, the Employment Index jumped to 54, against expectations for a drop to 49.8.

Earlier, the final reading of the US S&P Global Services PMI showed a positive revision from the 50.5 preliminary estimate to 50.6.

The dollar rose on the report, appreciated against the euro and the New Zealand dollar and pared losses against the pound and the yen. US yields rebounded from their daily lows. The 10-year yield rose from 3.97% to 4.02%.

The XAU/USD pair fell as low as $1,840/oz, although it remained in positive territory during the day. Gold continues to pull back from the two-week high reached on Friday at $1,849.

On a day-to-day basis, Gold continues to rise but far from highs. Intraday support is observed around $1,837. A break down would expose the $1,830 area. To the upside, the key barrier remains the $1,845/$1,850 range.

technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Last price today 1843.89
Today Daily Variation 7.71
today’s daily variation 0.42
today’s daily opening 1836.18
Trends
daily SMA20 1844.18
daily SMA50 1867.48
daily SMA100 1798.78
daily SMA200 1775.47
levels
previous daily high 1839.02
previous daily low 1830.01
Previous Weekly High 1847.59
previous weekly low 1808.99
Previous Monthly High 1959.8
Previous monthly minimum 1804.76
Fibonacci daily 38.2 1833.45
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1835.58
Daily Pivot Point S1 1831.12
Daily Pivot Point S2 1826.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 1822.11
Daily Pivot Point R1 1840.13
Daily Pivot Point R2 1844.08
Daily Pivot Point R3 1849.14

Source: Fx Street

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