Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Remains Under Pressure Near Weekly Low Before Powell

  • Gold moves lower on Wednesday for the fourth day in a row and hits a multi-day low.
  • Expectations of a Fed rate hike benefit the dollar and put pressure on the yellow metal, denominated in dollars.
  • Risk-off sentiment is unsupportive as attention turns to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony.

The Prayed has seen some selling for the fourth day in a row on Wednesday and has dropped to a four-day low around the $1,823 region during the first half of the European session.

Investors seem convinced that the Federal Reserve will maintain its aggressive tightening policy and raise interest rates at a faster pace to curb rising inflation. In fact, markets have been pricing in another 75 basis point rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in July. The expectations of the Fed, of a more aggressive nature, gave some support to the US dollar, which in turn reduced the demand for gold denominated in dollars. The bulls seemed unimpressed by the risk-off sentiment, which tends to benefit the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Market sentiment remains fragile amid doubts that the main central banks can raise interest rates to curb rising inflation without affecting economic growth. This, coupled with global supply chain disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine war and the recent COVID-19 outbreak in China, continued to fuel recession fears. The worsening global economic outlook weighed on investor sentiment, triggering a new wave of risk aversion and caused a sharp drop in stock markets.

Aside from a stronger dollar, the drop could also be attributed to some technical selling amid repeated failures near the all-important 200-day SMA in the last two trading sessions. However, it remains to be seen whether the bears are able to maintain control or refrain from opening aggressive positions ahead of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s semi-annual testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. Market participants will be looking for further clues on the Fed’s policy tightening path, which will weigh on the dollar and help determine the next directional move for non-yielding gold.

gold technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1830.31
Today’s Daily Change -2.65
Today’s Daily Change % -0.14
Today’s Daily Opening 1832.96
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1845.55
50 Daily SMA 1869.92
100 Daily SMA 1891.21
200 Daily SMA 1843.41
levels
Previous Daily High 1843.69
Previous Daily Minimum 1828.65
Previous Maximum Weekly 1879.26
Previous Weekly Minimum 1805.11
Monthly Prior Maximum 1909.83
Previous Monthly Minimum 1786.94
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1834.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1837.94
Daily Pivot Point S1 1826.51
Daily Pivot Point S2 1820.06
Daily Pivot Point S3 1811.47
Daily Pivot Point R1 1841.55
Daily Pivot Point R2 1850.14
Daily Pivot Point R3 1856.59

Source: Fx Street

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