Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD reverses intraday decline, lacks continuation around $1,855

  • A softer risk tone helps safe haven gold reverse a modest intraday drop.
  • The rebound in US bond yields benefits the dollar and caps the yellow metal’s gains.
  • Investors are now awaiting this week’s key US macroeconomic data for further momentum.

The gold has captured some buying in the $1,846 zone on Tuesday and has again approached the daily high around $1,855 at the start of the European session. The previous day’s optimism, sparked by the easing of China’s COVID-19 lockdowns, turned out to be short-lived amid the doubts about whether central banks can raise interest rates to curb inflation without affecting economic growth. Concerns resurface after the publication of China’s official PMIs, which showed a contraction in both the manufacturing and services sectors during the month of May. This, coupled with concerns that global supply chain disruption will continue to push up consumer prices, weighed on investor sentiment and benefited the safe-haven precious metal.

Nevertheless, the resurgence in demand for US dollars prevented the price of gold, denominated in dollars, from making significant gains. The sharp rise in US Treasury yields helped the dollar recover from a one-month low hit the previous day and acted as a headwind for the yielding yellow metal. Investors were also reluctant to open aggressive positions ahead of major US macroeconomic data releases, including the monthly NFP jobs report due on Friday. This makes it prudent to wait for a strong continuation of buying before positioning for an extension of the recent bounce from a multi-month low around the $1,787-$1,786 region touched on May 16.

This week, the US economic calendar is quite busy, beginning with the release of the Conference Board’s consumer confidence index. This, along with US bond yields, will influence dollar price dynamics and provide some momentum to gold prices. Aside from this, investors will look to the broader market risk sentiment to take advantage of some short-term opportunities around XAU/USD.

gold technical levels

XAU/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 1855.14
Today’s Daily Change -0.43
Today’s Daily Change % -0.02
Today’s Daily Opening 1855.57
Trends
20 Daily SMA 1848.35
50 Daily SMA 1899.38
100 Daily SMA 1887.49
200 Daily SMA 1840.26
levels
Previous Daily High 1864.07
Previous Daily Minimum 1854.13
Previous Maximum Weekly 1869.75
Previous Weekly Minimum 1840.85
Monthly Prior Maximum 1998.43
Previous Monthly Minimum 1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1857.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1860.27
Daily Pivot Point S1 1851.78
Daily Pivot Point S2 1847.98
Daily Pivot Point S3 1841.84
Daily Pivot Point R1 1861.72
Daily Pivot Point R2 1867.86
Daily Pivot Point R3 1871.66

Source: Fx Street

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