Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Struggling Near $1,800 as USD Climbs to 20-Year Highs

  • The price of gold falls for the second day in a row, pressured by a combination of factors.
  • Expectations of an aggressive Fed rate hike continue to act as a headwind amid signs of stability in the markets.
  • Modest dollar strength further weighs on XAU/USD, although recession fears help limit losses.

The price of Gold falls for the second day in a row on Tuesday and approaches the $1,800 level again during the European session.

The incessant rumors about the Federal Reserve and about the rate hike to curb rising inflation it turned out to be a key factor that continued to act as a headwind for non-performing gold. Indeed, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said last week that the US central bank remains focused on controlling inflation and added that the US economy is well positioned to handle tighter monetary policy. Aside from this, signs of stability in the financial markets further weighed on the safe-haven XAU/USD.

News that US President Joe Biden was leaning toward a decision on the relaxation of tariffs on products from China offered a brief respite to investors. However, growing concerns about a global recession should dampen any bullish moves. Meanwhile, the monetary flow of risk appetite pushed US Treasury yields higher. This, together with the expectations of the Fed, caused the dollar returned to close to its two-decade highs and put additional downward pressure on golddenominated in dollars.

Despite the combination of negative factors, the bears seem reluctant to open aggressive positions and might prefer to wait for this week’s key releases. will be published on Wednesday the minutes of the last FOMC monetary policy meeting, where new clues will be sought on the path of monetary policy tightening. Market participants will also note Friday’s release of the monthly employment report nfp in the US This will play a key role in influencing the short-term dollar price dynamics and help investors determine the next directional move for the price of gold.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
last price today 1802.77
daily change today -4.43
Today’s daily variation in % -0.25
Daily opening today 1807.2
Trends
daily SMA20 1831.28
daily SMA50 1845.67
daily SMA100 1891.02
daily SMA200 1845.74
levels
Previous daily high 1814.37
Previous Daily Low 1804.05
Previous Weekly High 1841.05
Previous Weekly Low 1784.55
Previous Monthly High 1879.26
Previous Monthly Low 1802.79
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1807.99
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 1810.43
Daily Pivot Point S1 1802.71
Daily Pivot Point S2 1798.22
Daily Pivot Point S3 1792.39
Daily Pivot Point R1 1813.03
Daily Pivot Point R2 1818.86
Daily Pivot Point R3 1823.35

Source: Fx Street

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