IEA cuts global oil demand growth forecast for 2024 to 903,000 b/d

In its monthly market report, oil The International Energy Agency (IEA) cut its forecast for global oil demand growth through 2024 to 903,000 barrels per day (b/d) from 970,000 b/d, the report said on Thursday.

Extra points

China’s slowdown will continue to weigh on global oil demand growth.

Global oil demand growth continues to slow.

Global demand rose by 800,000 b/d year-on-year in the first half.

The global slowdown is driven by the rapid slowdown in Chinese consumption.

Maintains forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 at 954,000 b/d.

Cuts total demand forecast for 2024 to an average of 103 million b/d from 103.1 million b/d.

Maintains non-OPEC+ production growth estimate for 2024 at 1.5 million b/d.

Cuts total demand forecast for 2025 to an average of 103.9 million b/d from 104 million b/d.

Maintains non-OPEC+ production growth estimate for 2025 at 1.5 million b/d.

Global oil supply rose by 80,000 b/d in August, partly due to Libyan losses.

Maintains total oil supply forecast for 2024 at an average of 102.9 million b/d.

Total oil supply forecast for 2025 slightly increased to an average of 105 million b/d from 104.9 million b/d.

Lowers global refinery production forecast for 2024 to 83 million b/d from 83.3 million b/d.

Lowers global refinery production forecast for 2025 to 83.7 million b/d from 83.9 million b/d.

Russian oil exports fell by 290,000 b/d on the month to 7 million b/d in August.

Russian trade export revenues fell by $1.6 billion on the month to $15.3 billion in August.

Source: Fx Street

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