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IMF: Fragmentation could subtract up to 7.0% from world GDP

In a new report from his staff released Sunday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) claims that severe global economic fragmentation could cost global Gross Domestic Product up to 7.0%, but losses could reach 8-12% in some countries if technology is also decoupled.

conclusions

“Even limited fragmentation could subtract 0.2% from global GDP, but more work is needed to assess the estimated costs to the international monetary system and the global financial safety net (GFSN).”

“The COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have further strained international relations and increased skepticism about the benefits of globalization.”

“The breaking trade links would hit low-income countries and less affluent consumers in advanced economies more negatively.”

Source: Fx Street

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