In the current scenario, agreement between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely, says professor

In the opinion of Professor of International Law, Manuel Nabais da Furriela, “any kind of agreement” between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely in the current scenario.

There is an expectation of a second round of negotiations between the Ukrainians and Russians to try to reach an agreement to end the war.

In an interview with CNN Radio, Furriela explained that there is a combination of factors that prevents progress, at the moment, of a treaty between the countries.

In addition to the performance of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who considers that he has been elevated to a “strong figure” politically, “sanctions to an unprecedented degree surprised everyone.”

“A fragile Ukrainian position would facilitate the agreement, it would yield more than in the current scenario, there is some possibility of a suspension of bombing, but in the current scenario it is unlikely”, he defended.

Furriela believes that Ukraine’s reaction was “surprising”, but that international sanctions are especially important. “Russia did not imagine the challenges it would face of this magnitude, it believed that the war would be short and the negotiation would follow its terms.”

Ukrainian refugees

For the professor, if the conflict continues, the Ukrainian refugees will be “a great challenge” for Europe.

It is estimated that between 4 and 5 million people will leave Ukraine. “The number is so large that it will cause a challenge for Europe, even in its 27 territories, to be able to receive them.”

He points out that there was already an exodus, for example, to Poland, before the war: “Now, however, it is an escape from the war, it is a humanitarian issue and not an economic one.”