Israel attacks Iran and the risk of a “total war” is looming in the Middle East

Not only nuclear and missile sites. In the attack launched on Thursday night against Iran, In addition to nuclear infrastructure, the Israeli aviation has targeted military leaders and nuclear scientists and conducted secret sabotage operations against air bases. As confirmed by the Iranian state media, Among the victims of the attacks was the commander of the body of the guards of the Islamic revolutionGeneral Hossein Salami, together with the Chief of Staff, General Mohammad Bagheri, and at least another high -ranking general, as well as several scientists.

A massive, coordinated operation, which has no comparison in the recent history of the conflict between the two countries, leaves the few options to Iran. To make news in these hours, in fact, it is not so much the attack itself, that Israel prepared at least from 7 October 2023, as the method and timing with which it was scored: The “nascent lion” offensive is designed to be a blow to the heart of the Ayatollah regime and face a distance conflict for a long time. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu promised to hit “until it is necessary”. The supreme guide Ali Khamenei threatened “a severe response”. If it attacks the American bases in Iraq and the gulf, or the Saudi or Emiratine oil installations, the spiral will not stop there. But at the moment, The only certainty is that the Islamic Republic – which has already launched more than 100 drones in retaliation against Israel – It cannot fail to answer. And what objectives will choose to hit will depend on the evolution of what has been looming from now on as the most serious threat of a total war in the Middle East.

The tension is also the timing of an escalation invoked by some, feared by others but which now appears inevitable. If it is in fact unlikely that Israel has started such an offensive without at least the tacit consent of Washington – whose intelligence and coverage needs for these operations – is however more than Trump probably knew from the phone call on Monday the day and time of raids.

In the last 24 hours The US had warned “imminent” attacks on Iran and evacuated their military and diplomatic personnel not indispensable from the bases in Iraq. And this morning the US President confirmed that he was “informed in advance” of the attacks, but that the United States are not involved and to hope that Iran “will return to the negotiation table”. Vana hope, judging by the first statements of the Iranian managers who have excluded to send their emissaries to the appointment scheduled for tomorrow in Muscat where the sixth bilateral interview with Washington should have held with the mediation of Oman.

The problem, increasingly evident in the eyes not only than Tehran but of all the countries of the region, is that The interlocutor who sits in the White House is not only unreliable, But whether it’s Gaza, Syria, Lebanon or Iran, Israel does not seem to control. In the first months of his second term, despite the openings of the Gulf countries, Donald Trump has let the project of an Israeli hegemony in the region, thanks to stable commercial relations and diplomatic agreements, those of Abraham in particular, was barefoot by the design of an hebrew hebret based on the military force of Tel Aviv.

In a Middle East already devastated for a year and a half of unprecedented conflict, “Lion nascent “does nothing but amplify the risks of an escalation that condemns the countries of the region – Israel in the first place – to a perennial war horizon.