It dips near two-week lows, around 154.50

  • The GBP JPY came under heavy selling pressure in reaction to the incoming Brexit headlines.
  • The formation of a bullish pennant pattern supports the prospects for some buying on the dips.
  • A convincing break below 154.50 is needed to nullify the constructive setup.

The crossing GBP/JPY witnessed a dramatic turnaround on Wednesday and fell nearly 85 pips from the intraday swing highs, around the 155.30 region. Bearish momentum dragged the cross to two-week lows, around 154.50 in the last hour.

The sharp intraday decline was sponsored by some strong selling around the British pound in reaction to the latest Brexit headlines. European Commission Vice President for Interinstitutional Relations and Foresight, Maroš Šefčovič, reiterated that the EU will react quickly if the UK takes any unilateral action on border controls.

Aside from this, speculation that the UK could delay plans to end the restrictions entirely on June 21, amid the spread of the so-called Delta variant, acted as a headwind for the British pound. This, coupled with a strong recovery in demand for the safe-haven Japanese yen, put additional downward pressure on the GBP / JPY cross.

From a technical perspective, the GBP / JPY cross was last seen hovering near the support marked by the lower bound of a short-term descending channel. Given the recent strong positive movement, the aforementioned trend channel appeared to constitute the formation of a bullish continuation pattern on the short-term charts.

The constructive setup is bolstered by the fact that the technical indicators on the daily chart, while losing positive traction, are still in bullish territory. With that said, a convincing break below the trend channel will negate the positive outlook and trigger some aggressive technical selling.

The GBP / JPY cross could extend its corrective pullback from multi-year highs and accelerate the slide to test the 154.00 level. Some subsequent selling has the potential to drag the cross further towards the next relevant support near the 153.25-20 horizontal zone en route to the 153.00 level.

On the other hand, the key psychological mark of 155.00 now seems to act as an immediate hurdle. A sustained move further will reaffirm the bullish flag pattern and push the GBP / JPY cross towards trend channel resistance, currently around 155.50.

4 hour chart

Technical levels

GBP/JPY

Panorama
Today’s Last Price 154.69
Today’s Daily Change -0.31
Today’s Daily Change% -0.20
Today’s Daily Opening 155
Trends
SMA of 20 Daily 154.7
SMA of 50 Daily 152.68
SMA of 100 Daily 150.09
200 SMA Daily 144.11
Levels
Daily Previous Maximum 155.09
Daily Previous Minimum 154.56
Weekly Preview Maximum 155.94
Weekly Prior Minimum 154.82
Monthly Previous Maximum 156.08
Minimum Previous Monthly 150.93
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 154.89
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 154.76
Daily Pivot Point S1 154.67
Daily Pivot Point S2 154.35
Daily Pivot Point S3 154.14
Daily Pivot Point R1 155.21
Daily Pivot Point R2 155.42
Daily Pivot Point R3 155.74

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