The fall of Bashar al-Assad’s government in Syria, in the early hours of Sunday (8), marks the beginning of a period of great instability in the country, according to the professor Danielle Ayres specialist in international politics and security at the Federal University of Santa Catarina (UFSC).
In an interview with CNN Brazil Ayres stated: “It will not be a smooth transition.” The expert highlights that the ethnic and religious fragmentation of Syrian territory contributes to the complexity of the current situation.
Dispute for power and risk of civil war
The Front for the Liberation of the Levant emerges as one of the main forces proposing a new government. However, Ayres highlights that “there are several groups that are disputing this process”. This struggle for power could lead the country to face yet another civil war, if there is no external intervention.
The teacher warns: “The turbulence will be effective in the coming weeks and even months.” To avoid a prolonged conflict, Ayres points out that an international coalition, involving powers such as the United States and Russia, could facilitate a more stable transition.
Regional geopolitical impact
The future Syrian government will have to define its position in regional geopolitics, deciding whether to align more with Israel or maintain close ties with Iran, as was characteristic of the Assad regime.
Ayres concludes that the legitimization of a new government, apparently preferred by the population compared to the Assad regime, will depend on its ability to navigate these complex international relations and guarantee internal stability.
This content was originally published in “It will not be a peaceful transition of power”, says professor about Syria on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
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