Economists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut their forecasts for mid-year US economic growth after reporting weaker data this week, mainly a slowdown in consumer spending, Bloomberg reported.
In particular, the bank cut its estimate for annual GDP growth to 1% for the second quarter, from 2.5% previously. The current quarter is also forecast at 1%, up from 2%. Growth will pick up to 1.5 percent in the final quarter of the year, helped by stronger auto production and lower inflation, the bank’s economists said.
“Our forecast comes dangerously close to a recession,” Michael Feroli, JPMorgan’s chief U.S. economist, said on Friday. “However, we continue to expect the economy to expand, in part because we believe employers may be reluctant to lay off workers, even in a period of low product demand.”
Source: Capital
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