Kamala Harris and Donald Trump arrive technically tied on the eve of the 2024 United States presidential election — both on the national stage and in swing states, those that will decide the election.
The last national survey carried out by CNN conducted by SSRS, shows that the Democrat and Republican have exactly 47% support each among likely voters — in the USA, voting is not mandatory, and getting people to go to the polls is one of the main challenges for candidates.
In September, likely voters split 48% for Kamala and 47% for Trump; and a survey of CNN shortly after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race, he revealed that 49% of registered voters intended to vote for the Republican, and 46% for the Democrat.
However, assessing the scenario in the states is also important, because of the Electoral College system. In it, a specific number of “delegates” are allocated to each state. Only by winning the vote of 270 delegates will one of the two candidates be elected president.
The average number of searches carried out by CNN, Taking into account the period between October 10th and November 2nd, it shows a similarly tight race between likely voters in three swing states:
- Arizona: 49% for Trump x 47% for Kamala
- North Carolina: 48% for Trump x 47% for Kamala
- Georgia: 49% for Trump x 47% for Kamala
In another three, the average number of searches carried out by CNN, Taking into account the period from October 16th to November 2nd, it reveals the following voting intention results:
- Michigan: 48% for Kamala x 46% for Trump
- Pennsylvania: both with 48% support
- Wisconsin: 49% for Kamala x 46% for Trump
In the state of Nevada, the latest survey by CNN revealed that Trump has 48% of voting intentions, while Kamala has 47%.
Other surveys also indicate a tie
THE New York Times/Siena College final poll also shows a tied scenario, within the margin of error, in six pendulum states, taking into account surveys that also include other candidates on the ballots:
- North Carolina: 48% for Kamala x 45% for Trump
- Georgia: 46% each
- Michigan: 45% each
- Nevada: 48% for Kamala x 46% for Trump
- Pennsylvania: 47% each
- Wisconsin: 48% for Kamala x 45% for Trump
In Arizona, the survey indicates that Trump has 48% of voting intentions, and Kamala, 44%.
Furthermore, a new NBC News poll shows that Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are tied nationally among registered voters. In a survey that includes other candidates, 47% of voters support Trump, and 46%, Kamala.
In a head-to-head with those who originally said they would vote for other candidates or were undecided and leaned toward Kamala or Trump, the race is tied with 49% voting intent for each.
The FiveThirtyEight poll aggregator also indicated technical ties on Sunday (3):
- Arizona: 49% for Trump x 46.5% for Kamala
- North Carolina: 48.4% for Trump x 47.2% for Kamala
- Georgia: 48.5% for Trump x 47.1% for Kamala
- Michigan: 47.8% for Kamala x 47% for Trump
- Nevada: 47.8% for Trump x 47.3% for Kamala
- Pennsylvania: 47.9% for Trump x 47.7% for Kamala
- Wisconsin: 48.1% for Kamala x 47.4% for Trump
Research in Iowa draws attention
A Des Moines Register survey of Mediacom in the state of Iowa drew attention. This is because the data indicated a shift towards Kamala Harris in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2016 and 2020 elections.
However, the difference is still within the margin of error, not indicating a clear leader in the state: 47% for the Democrat and 44% for the Republican.
The former president rejected the research and stated that it is not accurate.
CNN Brasil will have super live coverage
CNN Brasil will provide super coverage of the dispute between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for the White House in the American elections, which take place on Tuesday, November 5th.
In direct connection with the American headquarters of CNNthe matter will take up 24 hours of the day of CNN Brazilthrough super coverage in daily newspapers, with high-speed simultaneous translation.
This content was originally published in Kamala and Trump arrive tied on the eve of the US election; See the latest research on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
Bruce Belcher is a seasoned author with over 5 years of experience in world news. He writes for online news websites and provides in-depth analysis on the world stock market. Bruce is known for his insightful perspectives and commitment to keeping the public informed.
