Kamala Harris Faces Uphill Battle Under US Election Betting Odds

As Americans head to the polls to elect the 47th President of the United States, betting odds suggest Vice President Kamala Harris faces an uphill battle against former President Donald Trump.

Over the weekend, one of the leading betting platforms, PredictIt, showed that Harris became the slight favorite to win the US presidential election, overtaking Trump for the first time since early October. However, this lead was short-lived as Trump returned to the top on the platform, albeit by a small margin.

Although the US presidential election betting odds should not be taken as a representative view of American voters, they could still trigger a reaction in financial markets. Unlike PredictIt, RealClearPolling’s average for betting odds currently has Trump with a comfortable lead over Harris, 57.7 vs. 40.7.

Source: RealClearPolling.com

Meanwhile, election polls point to a much closer race than the betting odds suggest. The TIPP poll has Trump and Harris tied at 48 nationally, the Ipsos poll has Harris leading by two points, 50 vs. 48, and the Atlas Intel poll has Trump with a one-point lead, 50 vs. 49, according to RealClearPolling. In some key states, such as Arizona and North Carolina, Trump appears to remain on top, while Harris appears to have closed the gap in others, such as Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania.

Follow our live coverage of the market reaction to the US presidential election as the counting results begin to come in.

Source: Fx Street

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