European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said the first rate hike in more than 10 years could come weeks after the end of the bond-buying program early next quarter, when an already growing number of ECB members hint that a rise will come in July.
“The first rate hike will take place sometime after the end of the asset market,” Lagarde said.
“We have not yet set exactly when, but I was very clear that this could mean a period of just a few weeks,” she said in a speech in Ljubljana, advocating a “gradual” normalization of monetary policy after the initial increase.
Faced with record inflation, which is almost four times the ECB’s target of 2%, Lagarde’s colleagues at the ECB are increasingly pushing publicly for an increase in the July 21 meeting.
While the Federal Reserve and the BoE have begun tightening the policy, the ECB has not increased its borrowing costs since 2011. Also, its deposit rate has been negative since 204.
Markets are discounting interest rates by 0.25% from the ECB in July and September, with further increases until the end of the year.
They also expect that in two years the deposit rate will reach 1.5%.
Source: Capital
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