Market raises for the 4th time in a row its estimate for inflation in 2022, to 5.44%

The financial market forecast for inflation in 2022 rose for the fourth consecutive week. The median of forecasts for the IPCA (Broad Consumer Price Index) reached 5.44%, compared to 5.38% last week.

The numbers are from the Focus Bulletin of the Central Bank (BC), released this Monday (7). The document gathers the estimates of more than 100 financial market institutions for the main economic indicators.

If this figure is confirmed, it will be the second year of breaking the inflation target, which this year should not exceed 5% this year. The center of the target is 3.5%, however, the margin of tolerance of 1.5 percentage points up or down allows the index to vary between 2% and 5%.

For 2023, expectations kept inflation at 3.50%. The value is also already above the center of the target, of 3%, but still within the upper limit of 4.5%.

The estimate of economic growth for 2022 remained stable, with an expected increase of 0.30% for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). For 2023, the market has lowered its high forecast from 1.55% to 1.53%.

Source: CNN Brasil

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