The attack that resulted in the death of Ismail Haniyeh, leader of Hamas, in Iran, may have been a strategy by Benjamin Netanyahu targeting the presidential elections in the United States, according to an analysis by ESPM International Relations professor Leonardo Trevisan in an interview with CNN Brazil .
Trevisan emphasizes that the target was a representative of the political wing of Hamas, not the military wing, and that he was a figure who maintained dialogue with moderate Arab countries. “It is impossible not to see this action, probably by Israel, as an act by Netanyahu looking precisely at the American elections,” says the expert.
Impact on diplomatic relations
The attack came at a delicate time, shortly after a meeting in Qatar between US diplomacy and representatives of moderate Arab countries, including Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. Such action could further destabilize the region, forcing a response from Iran.
Trevisan argues that the escalation of the conflict could harm the current US administration, led by Joe Biden, and benefit Donald Trump’s candidacy. “Netanyahu is looking ahead to the US elections. Let’s put it this way, in a calm way, giving a little boost, as they say here in Brazil, to Trump’s figure,” explains the professor.
Political survival strategy
The expert also points out that the action could be an attempt by Netanyahu to prolong his own regime. There is a consensus among international analysts that the Israeli government would face serious survival problems if the war were to end quickly.
“The only one who gains from this situation is Netanyahu. The only one who gains from this situation is to prolong Netanyahu’s regime,” says Trevisan, highlighting that the escalation of the conflict strengthens the political position of the Israeli prime minister, both internally and on the international stage.
Trevisan’s analysis suggests that Haniyeh’s death and the resulting escalation of tensions in the Middle East could have significant implications not only for the region but also for the global political landscape, especially in the context of the upcoming US presidential election.
Source: CNN Brasil

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