NZD/USD faces rejection near 0.6200, trims intraday gains

  • NZD/USD rose for the second day in a row amid dollar profit-taking.
  • Stronger-than-expected quarterly inflation data from New Zealand also offered some support.
  • The rally in US bond yields helped limit dollar losses and capped the pair’s gains.

The pair NZD/USD it was supported by last week’s bounce from the 0.6060 zone, its lowest level since May 2020, and gained traction for the second day in a row on Monday. The momentum took the pair above a one-week low, though it was lacking in continuity and teetered near the round 0.6200 level.

Several Federal Reserve officials signaled last week that they were not in favor of a higher rate hike than markets were expecting after the release of rising US consumer inflation. This, in turn, forced investors to cut their bets on a 100 basis point Fed rate hike in July, which continued to undermine the US dollar and offered some support to the NZD/USD pair.

Aside from this, a generally positive tone around equity markets dragged the safe-haven dollar away from its two-decade highs. This, coupled with stronger-than-expected quarterly inflation data from New Zealand, benefited the risk-sensitive kiwi. The boost in risk appetite, meanwhile, pushed up US Treasury yields, helping to limit dollar losses and limit any further gains.

The pair has pulled back to the 0.6165 area, which warrants some caution before positioning for any significant upside. In the absence of any major economic data out of the US, NZD/USD remains at the mercy of dollar price action. This makes it prudent to wait for a strong buying follow-through to confirm that the pair has formed a short-term bottom.

Technical levels

NZD/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 0.6175
Today’s Daily Change 0.0007
Today’s Daily Change % 0.11
Today’s Daily Opening 0.6168
Trends
20 Daily SMA 0.6214
50 Daily SMA 0.6321
100 Daily SMA 0.6553
200 Daily SMA 0.6704
levels
Previous Daily High 0.6177
Previous Daily Minimum 0.6083
Previous Maximum Weekly 0.6193
Previous Weekly Minimum 0.6061
Monthly Prior Maximum 0.6576
Previous Monthly Minimum 0.6197
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6141
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6119
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6108
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6049
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6014
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6202
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6237
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6296

Source: Fx Street

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