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NZD/USD plummets to lowest since November and looks vulnerable below 0.6000

  • A combination of factors dragged NZD/USD to a new yearly low on Thursday.
  • Growing expectations for a rate cut by the RBNZ in July weigh on the New Zealand Dollar amid a softer risk tone.
  • Sustained buying around the USD puts additional pressure and contributes to the pair's current decline.

The pair NZD/USD is under strong selling pressure on Thursday and continues to lose ground during the first half of the European session. The bearish trajectory drags the pair to the 0.5960-0.5955 zone, the lowest level since November 17and it is due to a combination of factors.

New Zealand Dollar (NZD) weakens after ANZ Bank business outlook survey showed a weakening of activity indicators and a slight drop in inflationary pressures. Furthermore, the markets value almost 50% chance that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will cut rates as early as July. This, along with a fresh wave of buying around the US Dollar (USD), prove to be key factors putting downward pressure on the NZD/USD pair.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the Dollar against a basket of currencies, hit a more than one-month high following hawkish comments from the Governor of the Federal Reserve (Fed), Christopher Waller, on Wednesday, who tempered expectations for a US central bank rate cut. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury yields, which, along with a softer risk tone, is seen benefiting the safe-haven US Dollar and shifting monetary flows away from the sensitive New Zealand Dollar. to risk.

With the latest downward movementthe NZD/USD pair seems to have confirmed the breakout of the weekly range and the psychological level of 0.6000. This, in turn, favors the bears and supports the prospects of a new depreciation move in the short term. Market participants now look to the US economic agenda – with the final fourth quarter GDP figure, initial weekly jobless claims, pending home sales and the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index revised .

NZD/USD technical levels

Overview
Latest price today 0.5968
Daily change today -0.0036
Today's daily variation -0.60
Today's daily opening 0.6004
Trends
daily SMA20 0.6091
50 daily SMA 0.6109
SMA100 daily 0.6136
SMA200 Journal 0.6074
Levels
Previous daily high 0.6011
Previous daily low 0.5987
Previous weekly high 0.6107
Previous weekly low 0.5989
Previous Monthly High 0.6219
Previous monthly low 0.6037
Daily Fibonacci 38.2 0.6002
Fibonacci 61.8% daily 0.5996
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.5991
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.5977
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.5967
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6015
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6025
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.6039

Source: Fx Street

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