Oil: Massive risk premium built into crude oil prices – TDS

Crude oil prices are falling, says macro analyst TDSDaniel Ghali.

The supply risk premium is fading

“OPEC+ is cornered. The supply risk premium is fading, and further delays in planned production increases will not be enough. Global oil demand growth is weakening, and not necessarily solely due to slowing global growth.”

“There is still a massive risk premium built into oil prices, a legacy of critically low spare capacity during the pandemic-era bull market, suggesting that the combination of weakening demand growth and rising supply threatens to inflict far more damage on prices than anticipated, given balance sheet expectations.”

Source: Fx Street

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