Donald Trump will win the presidential race in the swing state of Pennsylvania, projects CNN.
The state does not have a clear bias towards a candidate and could decide the election.
There are 19 Electoral College votes at stake in Pennsylvania. At least 270 Electoral College votes are needed to win the 2024 presidential election.
President Joe Biden, a native of Scranton, Pennsylvania, carried the state in 2020, winning by just over 80,000 votes.
In 2016, Trump became the first Republican to win Pennsylvania since George HW Bush in 1988, carrying the state by just over 44,000 votes.
Pennsylvania is the most important state of the 2024 election battleground.
Kamala and Trump have made the region’s Electoral College votes the center of their respective campaigns.
crucial pendulum state
Pennsylvania was one of the seven “swing states” in the 2024 American elections. In other words, the race there was open and could tip either towards Kamala Harris or Donald Trump.
The candidates’ strategies during the campaign reflected this situation, with the vast majority of their spending on advertising and campaign events targeted at these seven states.
Pennsylvania is part of the so-called “Rust Belt”, a region in the American northeast that had a thriving and very well-developed industry sector until the 20th century, but which later faced shrinkage due to the decline of the economy (hence the dysphemism with the term “rust”).
In 2020, Pennsylvania was considered the most decisive state in the elections, and it was precisely there that Joe Biden managed to surpass the threshold of 270 delegates in the electoral college to guarantee victory against Donald Trump.
From 1992 to 2012, Pennsylvania – as well as Michigan and Wisconsin – was part of the so-called “Blue Wall” – a group of states that consistently voted for the Democratic Party in elections. That changed in 2016, when the standard was abandoned and Republican Donald Trump won there.
The state is among the few that do not allow election workers to process or tabulate mail-in ballots until 8 a.m. (Brasília time) on election day, which leads to delays in the results being known.
With more Democrats than Republicans traditionally voting by mail, early results — based on in-person votes on Election Day — show Trump ahead, but his lead has narrowed as more mail-in votes have been counted.
This pattern in 2020 led Trump to falsely claim fraud. This year, a new law required most counties to announce at midnight local time on Election Day how many mail-in ballots still needed to be counted, in an effort to avoid conspiracy theories.
Follow the investigation in real time
THE CNN Brazil developed an interactive map, on which it is possible to follow the investigation in real time in all US states. In it, you can see the vote count and winner projections.
THE CNN Brazil also provides super live coverage of the dispute between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump for the White House in the American elections.
The subject takes up 24 hours of the day of CNN Brazilthrough super coverage in daily newspapers, relying especially on the grandiose structure of the headquarters and high-speed simultaneous translation.
Understand how CNN projects election winners
THE CNN, Along with other media outlets, it works with Edison Research to collect voting results from election officials and to conduct exit polls among voters.
In some cases, the Decision Board of the CNN can project a result based on exit poll results, when a candidate holds a very wide advantage.
In others, when the dispute is very fierce, the Decision Board of the CNN looks for patterns in the data, how results and participation compare to previous results for each location, and whether there are any anomalies in what has been reported so far.
And, in the nearest elections, the Decision Board of the CNN will carefully analyze estimates of how many votes remain to be counted, taking into account the total number, what type they are and where they could come from.
Understand more about the process of projecting winners in elections in this matter.
This content was originally published in Pennsylvania: Donald Trump wins dispute in the swing state, projects CNN on the CNN Brasil website.
Source: CNN Brasil
Bruce Belcher is a seasoned author with over 5 years of experience in world news. He writes for online news websites and provides in-depth analysis on the world stock market. Bruce is known for his insightful perspectives and commitment to keeping the public informed.
