Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva maintains his lead over far-right leader Zaich Bolsonaro and is likely to win the October presidential election in the first round, according to a poll released yesterday.
The 76-year-old Brazilian left-wing leader holds 47% of the vote in the first round, while his opponent, elected in 2018, is credited with only 28%, according to a poll by the Datafolha Institute. of the newspaper Folha de São Paulo.
The gap closed marginally compared to the data of this rolling poll a month ago (Lula 48%, Bolsonarou 27%). The poll announces an electoral battle with great polarization of these two candidates, to the detriment of other candidates and parties.
By far the third place is the center-left candidate Siro Gomes (7%), while the center-back Andre Zanon (2%) and the senator Simoni Tempet (1%) are in the fourth and fifth place, without seeming to have the slightest chance of prevalence.
If only possible valid votes are taken into account – that is, if the percentages of those who said they would vote invalid or blank are deducted – Lula gets 53% of the vote and President Bolsonaro, 67, 32%. If this score is actually recorded at the polls, the leader of the Workers’ Party (PT) will be elected triumphantly from the first round on October 2.
In May, the two opponents garnered 54% and 33% of the vote, respectively, ahead of the first round.
In case a second round is needed, on October 30, Lula will beat Mr. Bolsonarou with 57% against 34%. In May, the difference was marginally higher (58-33%).
“The new poll shows, once again, that the Brazilian people want to get rid of this tragic government,” Lula said.
Mr Bolsonaru, who is generally downgraded by opinion polls, is struggling with high inflation (11.73% year-on-year in May), which is hurting wages and pensions and his image following the catastrophic management of the new coronavirus pandemic.
The Datafolia Institute poll was conducted the day before yesterday, Wednesday 22nd and yesterday, Thursday 23rd, in 181 cities in Brazil, in a sample of 2,556 citizens; it has a statistical error margin of ± 2%.
SOURCE: ΑΠΕ-ΜΠΕ
Source: Capital
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