The economic impacts for Russia, both from the war against Ukraine and the international sanctions that came with it, are a major source of pressure on President Vladimir Putin and the decisions he must make regarding the future of the conflict.
The analysis is by Leonardo Trevisan, professor of international relations at ESPM, who spoke this Saturday in an interview with CNN.
“At a time when the Russian GDP, according to the Russian central bank itself, is expected to fall by 7% to 9% this year, and when the ruble’s devaluation has already exceeded 20% (…), it is evident that President Putin will have to make choices between preserving the Russian economy and somehow maintaining its military power,” Trevisan said.
The professor was commenting on the speech made shortly before by US President Joe Biden, in Warsaw, Poland, in which he harshly criticized the “dictator” Putin, defended the protection of NATO (North Atlantic Organization) principles and reinforced the bets on economic sanctions against Russia.
“[A pressão econômica] it will be a very sensitive pressure [sobre Putin] the longer the war in Ukraine lasts,” Trevisan said.
“It is on this pressure that Biden counts, so that his money is stronger than the cannon, as Biden knows perfectly well from all the experience he has”, he added, remembering the 30 years that the current president served in the US Senate, in many of them as president of the House Foreign Relations Committee.
*Text published by Juliana Elias
Source: CNN Brasil
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