Politics

RealTime Big Data survey government of Paraná: Ratinho Júnior, 42%; Requião, 16%

June 27, 2022
1:35 PM

TV Record/RealTime Big Data poll on the election for the government of Paraná released this Monday (27), shows the current governor, Ratinho Júnior (PSD), with 42% of the voting intentions, ahead of Roberto Requião (PT ), former governor and former senator from Paraná, with 16%. Elections are scheduled for October.

In the sequence, appear the current senator Flávio Arns (Podemos), with 5%; César Silvestri Filho (PSDB), 3%; Ângela Machado (PSOL), 1%, and Solange Ferreira Bueno (PMN), 0%.

Blanks and nulls are 14%; 19% say they do not know or have not responded to the survey. The margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points.

The institute also made a simulation without the name of Flávio Arns. In it, Ratinho Júnior has 44%; Requião, 16%; Silvestri Filho, 4%; Angela Machado, 1%; and Solange Ferreira Bueno, 0%. In this scenario, whites and nulls total 15%, and 20% say they do not know or have not responded to the survey.

RealTime did not simulate runoff scenarios for the state government.

1,500 voters were interviewed by telephone between the 25th and 25th of June. The survey was registered with the Electoral Court under code PR-06518/2022. According to the institute, the confidence level of the survey is 95%.

Stimulated voting intention for governor of Paraná

Scene 1

Junior Mouse (PSD) – 42%

Roberto Requião (PT) – 16%

Flávio Arns (Podemos) – 5%

César Silvestri Filho (PSDB) – 3%

Ângela Machado (PSOL) – 1%

Solange Ferreira Bueno (PMN) – 0%

Blanks/nulls – 14%

Don’t know/didn’t answer – 19%

Scenario 2

Junior Mouse (PSD) – 44%

Roberto Requião (PT) – 16%

César Silvestri Filho (PSDB) – 4%

Ângela Machado (PSOL) – 1%

Solange Ferreira Bueno (PMN) – 0%

Blanks/nulls – 15%

Don’t know/didn’t answer – 20%

RealTime Big Data also ran simulations for the Senate race. In the scenario of confrontation between Sergio Moro (União Brasil) and Alvaro Dias (Podemos), the former federal judge gets 30%, against 23% of the current senator, candidate for reelection. The institute also ran simulations by removing the name of one of the two candidates – see below: