Allies of President Jair Bolsonaro told the CNN that the real chances of defeat for ex-president Lula in this year’s elections grew and turned on a “yellow light” in the command of the campaign and in the government itself.
The assessment is that there is no unity of command in the campaign, that it lacks joint effort in a single direction, as well as focus and even commitment. A Bolsonaro interlocutor said that everyone is seeing the enemy approaching to defeat the president and, although saying they are worried, they are doing nothing. They conclude their reasoning by saying that concern is not a tactical action and that it is necessary to react.
Concomitantly with these readings, the analysis has also been made that the reaction time is scarce. The end of June has been given as a deadline for actions to be taken, both because of the electoral legislation that restricts government acts, and for the time it would take for the acts to be reversed into voting intentions. Hence the government’s rush to approve the fuel package. The campaign’s summit estimates that the impact on polls could be a 5-point growth for Bolsonaro in the polls.
There is also the interpretation that the PT realized that the famine is the big theme of this year’s election and got it right in the speech, while the government campaign still tries to divert the campaign’s center of gravity towards political issues that are not, according to interlocutors of the president, the priority of the electorate. For example, the attacks on the electronic voting machine.
The president’s allies have even told him that another treatment is needed in the campaign’s speech on inflation because, according to this source, it is not enough to point out that the rise in prices stems from the Ukrainian war and that other countries in the world are experiencing the same problem. . The voter really wants to solve life in the market he frequents to supply his house.
The president of the PL, Valdemar da Costa Neto, would have carried out an internal analysis along these lines. He said that at the height of the monthly allowance crisis in 2005, when there was a similar perception that the president would not be reelected because of corruption charges, he told Lula that the population really wants to know about food on the table. The PT government at the time invested heavily in Bolsa-Família, which ended up helping the PT to win in 2006.
There is also the perception that the general coordinator of the campaign, senator Flávio Bolsonaro, has no experience in presidential elections. To complicate matters, he and his brother Carlos Bolsonaro differ on the marketing strategy. In addition, part of the campaign’s command also takes care of its bases, such as the minister of the Civil House, Ciro Nogueira, who has traveled to Piauí frequently to try to elect the former mayor of Teresina, Silvio Mendes (PSDB), and his vice-president. , Ciro’s ex-wife, Iracema Portela (PP-PI).
Another ally who was decisive in the 2018 elections, Onyx Lorenzoni, is also taking care of his campaign for governor in Rio Grande do Sul. And the PL itself also has as a parallel goal to the election of Bolsonaro to elect the largest bench in the Chamber. This scenario makes the president’s allies assess that these operators are working with objectives parallel to the president’s election, which would help, in this perspective, to take the focus off the presidential election.
Source: CNN Brasil
