Russia may increase violence to make Ukraine negotiate, says professor

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The professor of International Relations and Law at IBMEC, Marcelo Suano, believes that this moment of the war in Ukraine will see an increase in violence imposed by Russian troops. “The war will now have much more violence because Russia wants to deliver, at least symbolically, a result,” he said, in an interview with CNN Radio.

He explains that there was a “set of failures and miscalculations” on the part of the Russians. “They did not imagine, for example, that the war would last more than 10 days, they wanted a quick solution, most likely they did not receive information from the intelligence service that the Ukrainians would offer such dense resistance.”

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Furthermore, “the Russians do not do public diplomacy, they are not good at it. Ukraine has made a good connection on the international stage with all the countries.” This scenario, therefore, in the professor’s view, will make the Russians intensify the attacks: “It will be a moment of greater violence to put Ukraine on the negotiating table.”

“Meanwhile, Ukraine uses ‘victimization’ strategy to rally allies, but the Ukrainians did it well, despite being, in fact, victims,” he added.

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Suano also argues that there was a lack of high-level interlocutors to conduct the mediation, such as former German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and that the West should not intensify its participation in the war for a direct confrontation with Russia.

Source: CNN Brasil

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