Silver Price Analysis: Chance to break below $20.00, vulnerable near 50 DMA

  • Silver loses ground for the second day in a row and falls to a one-week low.
  • The drop marks a bearish break below a one-week trading range.
  • The bears still have to wait for a sustained break below $20.00 before making further bets.

the silver witnesses selling for the second day in a row on Tuesday and falls above a one-week low around the psychological $20.00 level during the mid-European session.

The decline follows last week’s failure near the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $22.52 drop to $18.15 and marks a bearish break below a one-week trading range. Furthermore, the acceptance below the 50% Fibonacci level and the 50-day SMA supports the prospects for a further downside move for XAG/USD.

That said, the oscillators on the daily chart – although they have been losing traction – still do not confirm the negative outlook. This makes it prudent to wait for sustained weakness below $20.00 before making further bearish bets and positioning for a subsequent drop below the 38.2% Fibonacci level, around the $19.80 region.

The next relevant support lies near the $19.55 area (last week’s low), which should now act as a key point. A convincing break below would change the bias in favor of bearish traders and expose the 23.6% Fibonacci level, around the $19.20-$19.15 region. XAG/USD could drop to $19.00.

On the other hand, the level of Fibo. 50% around the $20.35 area now seems to act as strong immediate resistance. Any subsequent move to the upside could attract fresh selling near the $20.65 horizontal zone. This, in turn, should keep a cap on any further gains for XAG/USD near the 61.8% Fibonacci level, around the $20.85 region.

Silver Daily Chart

Key technical levels

XAG/USD

Panorama
Last Price Today 20.1
Today’s Daily Change -0.18
Today’s Daily Change % -0.89
Today’s Daily Opening 20.28
Trends
20 Daily SMA 19.75
50 Daily SMA 20.2
100 Daily SMA 21.7
200 Daily SMA 22.7
levels
Previous Daily High 20.88
Previous Daily Minimum 20.09
Previous Maximum Weekly 20.84
Previous Weekly Minimum 19.8
Monthly Prior Maximum 20.37
Previous Monthly Minimum 18.15
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 20.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 20.58
Daily Pivot Point S1 19.95
Daily Pivot Point S2 19.63
Daily Pivot Point S3 19.17
Daily Pivot Point R1 20.74
Daily Pivot Point R2 21.2
Daily Pivot Point R3 21.52

Source: Fx Street

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